ai-written commits — tracked daily since 2025

THE AI CODE INDEX

Which AI coding tool is actually winning? Daily commit volume, market share, and doubling time across 7 tools on all public GitHub repos.

commits yesterday: 586k7 tools tracked · 5 measurableleader: claude code 93%fastest doubler: aider · 26d

§ 1 — total daily commit volume, all tools

fig. 01

92.0M commits · last 6 months · 683% vs prior span

latest complete day — aug 23 · 586k

500kfeb 23 — 260k commitsfeb 24 — 268k commitsfeb 25 — 256k commitsfeb 26 — 233k commitsfeb 27 — 175k commitsfeb 28 — 235k commitsmar 1 — 254k commitsmar 2 — 246k commitsmar 3 — 240k commitsmar 4 — 242k commitsmar 5 — 251k commitsmar 6 — 265k commitsmar 7 — 258k commitsmar 8 — 268k commitsmar 9 — 284k commitsmar 10 — 280k commitsmar 11 — 275k commitsmar 12 — 276k commitsmar 13 — 291k commitsmar 14 — 294k commitsmar 15 — 343k commitsmar 16 — 369k commitsmar 17 — 353k commitsmar 18 — 375k commitsmar 19 — 378k commitsmar 20 — 363k commitsmar 21 — 371k commitsmar 22 — 399k commitsmar 23 — 402k commitsmar 24 — 416k commitsmar 25 — 334k commitsmar 26 — 401k commitsmar 27 — 388k commitsmar 28 — 397k commitsmar 29 — 368k commitsmar 30 — 390k commitsmar 31 — 384k commitsapr 1 — 378k commitsapr 2 — 377k commitsapr 3 — 371k commitsapr 4 — 363k commitsapr 5 — 371k commitsapr 6 — 402k commitsapr 7 — 413k commitsapr 8 — 406k commitsapr 9 — 412k commitsapr 10 — 402k commitsapr 11 — 365k commitsapr 12 — 396k commitsapr 13 — 421k commitsapr 14 — 424k commitsapr 15 — 401k commitsapr 16 — 425k commitsapr 17 — 426k commitsapr 18 — 376k commitsapr 19 — 395k commitsapr 20 — 352k commitsapr 21 — 360k commitsapr 22 — 389k commitsapr 23 — 383k commitsapr 24 — 407k commitsapr 25 — 371k commitsapr 26 — 382k commitsapr 27 — 412k commitsapr 28 — 405k commitsapr 29 — 404k commitsapr 30 — 378k commitsmay 1 — 361k commitsmay 2 — 362k commitsmay 3 — 379k commitsmay 4 — 433k commitsmay 5 — 429k commitsmay 6 — 465k commitsmay 7 — 497k commitsmay 8 — 472k commitsmay 9 — 419k commitsmay 10 — 419k commitsmay 11 — 503k commitsmay 12 — 519k commitsmay 13 — 510k commitsmay 14 — 527k commitsmay 15 — 511k commitsmay 16 — 449k commitsmay 17 — 487k commitsmay 18 — 567k commitsmay 19 — 576k commitsmay 20 — 562k commitsmay 21 — 550k commitsmay 22 — 523k commitsmay 23 — 450k commitsmay 24 — 461k commitsmay 25 — 526k commitsmay 26 — 562k commitsmay 27 — 578k commitsmay 28 — 493k commitsmay 29 — 518k commitsmay 30 — 351k commitsmay 31 — 290k commitsjun 1 — 534k commitsjun 2 — 510k commitsjun 3 — 430k commitsjun 4 — 489k commitsjun 5 — 548k commitsjun 6 — 474k commitsjun 7 — 369k commitsjun 8 — 470k commitsjun 9 — 630k commitsjun 10 — 753k commitsjun 11 — 699k commitsjun 12 — 706k commitsjun 13 — 588k commitsjun 14 — 584k commitsjun 15 — 650k commitsjun 16 — 634k commitsjun 17 — 674k commitsjun 18 — 661k commitsjun 19 — 632k commitsjun 20 — 578k commitsjun 21 — 575k commitsjun 22 — 643k commitsjun 23 — 651k commitsjun 24 — 668k commitsjun 25 — 647k commitsjun 26 — 613k commitsjun 27 — 525k commitsjun 28 — 534k commitsjun 29 — 618k commitsjun 30 — 632k commitsjul 1 — 637k commitsjul 2 — 765k commitsjul 3 — 742k commitsjul 4 — 641k commitsjul 5 — 622k commitsjul 6 — 668k commitsjul 7 — 718k commitsjul 8 — 689k commitsjul 9 — 676k commitsjul 10 — 792k commitsjul 11 — 650k commitsjul 12 — 645k commitsjul 13 — 685k commitsjul 14 — 673k commitsjul 15 — 636k commitsjul 16 — 668k commitsjul 17 — 699k commitsjul 18 — 603k commitsjul 19 — 614k commitsjul 20 — 679k commitsjul 21 — 709k commitsjul 22 — 701k commitsjul 23 — 678k commitsjul 24 — 652k commitsjul 25 — 608k commitsjul 26 — 626k commitsjul 27 — 665k commitsjul 28 — 728k commitsjul 29 — 688k commitsjul 30 — 710k commitsjul 31 — 677k commitsaug 1 — 558k commitsaug 2 — 592k commitsaug 3 — 680k commitsaug 4 — 709k commitsaug 5 — 711k commitsaug 6 — 699k commitsaug 7 — 690k commitsaug 8 — 598k commitsaug 9 — 606k commitsaug 10 — 691k commitsaug 11 — 704k commitsaug 12 — 691k commitsaug 13 — 702k commitsaug 14 — 665k commitsaug 15 — 587k commitsaug 16 — 594k commitsaug 17 — 680k commitsaug 18 — 720k commitsaug 19 — 769k commitsaug 20 — 721k commitsaug 21 — 677k commitsaug 22 — 597k commitsaug 23 — 586k commits586kfeb 23mar 17apr 8apr 30may 22jun 13jul 5jul 27aug 23

§ 2 — market share of ai-written commits

fig. 02

93%
claude code 93.1%cursor 6.4%codex 0.5%aider <0.1%gemini cli <0.1%

§ 3 — the race for #2

fig. 03

cursor

37.6k/day · ▼ 25%

codex

2.9k/day · ▲ 35%

aider

183/day · ▲ 118%

gemini cli

13/day · ▼ 67%

claude code owns the index, so it's out of this grid — one shared scale for everyone else.

§ 4 — momentum, ranked

fig. 04

  • 01aiderfastest

    ▲ 118% · 183/day · 26d to double · 0.0%

  • 02codex

    ▲ 35% · 2.9k/day · 67d to double · 0.5%

  • 03claude code

    ▼ 2% · 545k/day · · 93.1%

  • 04cursor

    ▼ 25% · 37.6k/day · · 6.4%

  • 05gemini cli

    ▼ 67% · 13/day · · 0.0%

§ 5 — the pr arena

fig. 05

fig. 05 — autonomous agent prs, all time

01github copilot2.1k
02devin1.1k
03coderabbit32

github copilot and devin don’t sign their commits, so they score zero in the charts above. zero there isn’t absence — it’s invisibility. this is their arena.

§ 6 — the open model layer

fig. 06

models — release snapshots (big stars, low velocity)

runtime — where open-model energy lives

the tools above run on these. open models don’t sign their commits, so this layer is repo traction — not usage share. anything else would be made up.

§ 7 — ecosystem adoption

fig. 07

config files in repos

claude code493k
agents.md382k
github copilot128k
cursor46.7k
windsurf4.3k
aider825

sdk / package adoption

openai767k
langchain252k
anthropic214k

note: agents.md (an open format) beats every vendor-specific config file.

§ 8 — community pulse

fig. 08

fig. 08 — community pulse, 7 days

toolmentionshnredditgithub
claude code580680512
github copilot22230219
codex18100181
cursor360036
gemini cli240024
devin4004
aider3003

§ 9 — intelligence brief

fig. 09

$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/index.log

09:41:02 index sync completed — 586k commits counted across 5 of 7 tools

09:41:03 claude code leads the index at 93.1% of ai-written commits

09:41:04 codex added 750/day this month — biggest absolute gain

09:41:05 aider is the fastest doubler — every 26 days at current pace

09:41:06 github copilot leads the pr arena with 2.1k agent prs — without signing a single commit

09:41:07 gemini cli down 67% this month — watching for a floor

09:41:08

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