open-weight adoption — tracked daily
THE OPEN MODEL INDEX
Which open-weight models are developers actually building with? Hugging Face weight downloads and GitHub velocity for DeepSeek, Llama, Qwen, Kimi, Mistral, and GLM — plus the runtime layer that runs them. Every number says what it is; nothing here is made up.
§ 1 — weight downloads, daily
fig. 01
hugging face trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, across all tracked models.
§ 2 — share of new downloads
fig. 02
share of the trailing 30-day window.
§ 3 — each model, same scale
fig. 03
deepseek r1
5.0M/30d · ▼ 43%
kimi k3
2.8M/30d · ▲ 97724%
deepseek v3
1.0M/30d · ▲ 31%
llama 3.3 70b
300k/30d · ▼ 64%
mistral small 3.1
186k/30d · ▲ 6%
kimi k2
164k/30d · ▼ 28%
glm 4.5
109k/30d · ▼ 23%
qwen3 235b
43.3k/30d · ▼ 49%
trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, averaged over 3-day buckets · all charts share one scale.
§ 4 — momentum, ranked
fig. 04
| no. | model | downloads (30d) | Δ vs 30d ago | momentum | doubles every | share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | kimi k3fastest | 2.8M | +2.8M | ▲ 97724% | 3 days | 28.8% |
| 02 | deepseek v3 | 1.0M | +246k | ▲ 31% | 87 days | 10.7% |
| 03 | mistral small 3.1 | 186k | +10.6k | ▲ 6% | 459 days | 1.9% |
| 04 | glm 4.5 | 109k | −32.8k | ▼ 23% | — | 1.1% |
| 05 | kimi k2 | 164k | −65.1k | ▼ 28% | — | 1.7% |
| 06 | deepseek r1 | 5.0M | −3.8M | ▼ 43% | — | 52.2% |
| 07 | qwen3 235b | 43.3k | −42.3k | ▼ 49% | — | 0.4% |
| 08 | llama 3.3 70b | 300k | −524k | ▼ 64% | — | 3.1% |
01kimi k3fastest
2.8M/30d · ▲ 97724% · 3d to double · 28.8%
02deepseek v3
1.0M/30d · ▲ 31% · 87d to double · 10.7%
03mistral small 3.1
186k/30d · ▲ 6% · 459d to double · 1.9%
04glm 4.5
109k/30d · ▼ 23% · — · 1.1%
05kimi k2
164k/30d · ▼ 28% · — · 1.7%
06deepseek r1
5.0M/30d · ▼ 43% · — · 52.2%
07qwen3 235b
43.3k/30d · ▼ 49% · — · 0.4%
08llama 3.3 70b
300k/30d · ▼ 64% · — · 3.1%
§ 5 — the runtime layer
fig. 05
fig. 05 — the runtime layer (what people run open models with)
| tool | stars | forks | contributors |
|---|---|---|---|
| ollama | 179k | 17.5k | 596 |
| llama.cpp | 125k | 22.1k | 1.9k |
| vllm | 89.9k | 21.1k | 2.4k |
runtimes don’t publish weight downloads — repo traction is the honest proxy here.
§ 6 — intelligence brief
fig. 06
$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/models.log
09:41:02 8 open models + 3 runtimes tracked — hf trailing-30d downloads + github velocity, nothing fabricated
09:41:03 deepseek r1 leads the 30-day window at 5.0M
09:41:04 kimi k3 gained the most rate this month — +2.8M on the 30d window
09:41:05 kimi k3 is the fastest riser — doubling every 3 days at current pace
09:41:06 ollama leads the runtime layer at 179k★
09:41:07 router share coming when there’s a stable public source — we don’t scrape
09:41:08 █
form 27-b — subscription
THE TUESDAY BRIEFING
The repos that moved this week, why they matter, and what to watch next. One email. No noise.