open-weight adoption — tracked daily
THE OPEN MODEL INDEX
Which open-weight models are developers actually building with? Hugging Face weight downloads and GitHub velocity for DeepSeek, Llama, Qwen, Kimi, Mistral, and GLM — plus the runtime layer that runs them. Every number says what it is; nothing here is made up.
§ 1 — weight downloads, daily
fig. 01
hugging face trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, across all tracked models.
§ 2 — share of new downloads
fig. 02
share of the trailing 30-day window.
§ 3 — each model, same scale
fig. 03
deepseek v3
1.4M/30d · ▲ 27%
kimi k3
1.4M/30d · ▼ 51%
deepseek r1
924k/30d · ▼ 59%
llama 3.3 70b
810k/30d · ▲ 139%
mistral small 3.1
517k/30d · ▲ 253%
kimi k2
292k/30d · ▲ 79%
qwen3 235b
187k/30d · ▲ 127%
glm 4.5
111k/30d · ▲ 14%
trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, averaged over 3-day buckets · all charts share one scale.
§ 4 — momentum, ranked
fig. 04
| no. | model | downloads (30d) | Δ vs 30d ago | momentum | doubles every | share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | mistral small 3.1fastest | 517k | +371k | ▲ 253% | 41 days | 9.2% |
| 02 | llama 3.3 70b | 810k | +471k | ▲ 139% | 62 days | 14.5% |
| 03 | qwen3 235b | 187k | +105k | ▲ 127% | 60 days | 3.3% |
| 04 | kimi k2 | 292k | +129k | ▲ 79% | 87 days | 5.2% |
| 05 | deepseek v3 | 1.4M | +300k | ▲ 27% | 201 days | 24.9% |
| 06 | glm 4.5 | 111k | +14.0k | ▲ 14% | 375 days | 2.0% |
| 07 | kimi k3 | 1.4M | −1.4M | ▼ 51% | — | 24.4% |
| 08 | deepseek r1 | 924k | −1.3M | ▼ 59% | — | 16.5% |
01mistral small 3.1fastest
517k/30d · ▲ 253% · 41d to double · 9.2%
02llama 3.3 70b
810k/30d · ▲ 139% · 62d to double · 14.5%
03qwen3 235b
187k/30d · ▲ 127% · 60d to double · 3.3%
04kimi k2
292k/30d · ▲ 79% · 87d to double · 5.2%
05deepseek v3
1.4M/30d · ▲ 27% · 201d to double · 24.9%
06glm 4.5
111k/30d · ▲ 14% · 375d to double · 2.0%
07kimi k3
1.4M/30d · ▼ 51% · — · 24.4%
08deepseek r1
924k/30d · ▼ 59% · — · 16.5%
§ 5 — the runtime layer
fig. 05
fig. 05 — the runtime layer (what people run open models with)
| tool | stars | forks | contributors |
|---|---|---|---|
| ollama | 182k | 18.0k | 596 |
| llama.cpp | 130k | 23.9k | 2.0k |
| vllm | 93.0k | 22.8k | 2.4k |
runtimes don’t publish weight downloads — repo traction is the honest proxy here.
§ 6 — intelligence brief
fig. 06
$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/models.log
09:41:02 8 open models + 3 runtimes tracked — hf trailing-30d downloads + github velocity, nothing fabricated
09:41:03 deepseek v3 leads the 30-day window at 1.4M
09:41:04 llama 3.3 70b gained the most rate this month — +471k on the 30d window
09:41:05 mistral small 3.1 is the fastest riser — doubling every 41 days at current pace
09:41:06 ollama leads the runtime layer at 182k★
09:41:07 router share coming when there’s a stable public source — we don’t scrape
09:41:08 █
form 27-b — subscription
THE TUESDAY BRIEFING
The repos that moved this week, why they matter, and what to watch next. One email. No noise.